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Rent vs Buy by State 2026

FIN·US

One scenario, fifty-one tax climates. The home, the rent, the loan and the horizon are frozen — only the state's property-tax rate changes — and the verdict still flips: where tax is light and prices moderate, buying pulls ahead; where the tax office takes 1.9% a year, renting stays competitive far longer.

The frozen scenario: $450,000 home, 20% down at 6.5%, $2,200 rent, 7 years, 3% appreciation. It is a comparison device, not a claim about any real market — every state page lets you replace every number with your own.

All 51 jurisdictions on the frozen scenario

StateEffective taxBuy net costRent net costVerdict
Alabama0.38%$188,005$202,289Buy by $14,284
Alaska1.06%$209,425$202,289Rent by $7,136
Arizona0.44%$189,895$202,289Buy by $12,394
Arkansas0.5%$191,785$202,289Buy by $10,504
California0.72%$198,715$202,289Buy by $3,574
Colorado0.52%$192,415$202,289Buy by $9,874
Connecticut1.59%$226,120$202,289Rent by $23,831
Delaware0.49%$191,470$202,289Buy by $10,819
Florida0.8%$201,235$202,289Buy by $1,054
Georgia0.77%$200,290$202,289Buy by $1,999
Hawaii0.26%$184,225$202,289Buy by $18,064
Idaho0.42%$189,265$202,289Buy by $13,024
Illinois1.92%$236,515$202,289Rent by $34,226
Indiana0.74%$199,345$202,289Buy by $2,944
Iowa1.27%$216,040$202,289Rent by $13,751
Kansas1.24%$215,095$202,289Rent by $12,806
Kentucky0.72%$198,715$202,289Buy by $3,574
Louisiana0.55%$193,360$202,289Buy by $8,929
Maine0.92%$205,015$202,289Rent by $2,726
Maryland0.98%$206,905$202,289Rent by $4,616
Massachusetts1.01%$207,850$202,289Rent by $5,561
Michigan1.17%$212,890$202,289Rent by $10,601
Minnesota1.04%$208,795$202,289Rent by $6,506
Mississippi0.65%$196,510$202,289Buy by $5,779
Missouri0.79%$200,920$202,289Buy by $1,369
Montana0.69%$197,770$202,289Buy by $4,519
Nebraska1.31%$217,300$202,289Rent by $15,011
Nevada0.47%$190,840$202,289Buy by $11,449
New Hampshire1.43%$221,080$202,289Rent by $18,791
New Jersey1.82%$233,365$202,289Rent by $31,076
New Mexico0.63%$195,880$202,289Buy by $6,409
New York1.42%$220,765$202,289Rent by $18,476
North Carolina0.64%$196,195$202,289Buy by $6,094
North Dakota0.92%$205,015$202,289Rent by $2,726
Ohio1.22%$214,465$202,289Rent by $12,176
Oklahoma0.76%$199,975$202,289Buy by $2,314
Oregon0.79%$200,920$202,289Buy by $1,369
Pennsylvania1.12%$211,315$202,289Rent by $9,026
Rhode Island1.02%$208,165$202,289Rent by $5,876
South Carolina0.45%$190,210$202,289Buy by $12,079
South Dakota1.04%$208,795$202,289Rent by $6,506
Tennessee0.46%$190,525$202,289Buy by $11,764
Texas1.32%$217,615$202,289Rent by $15,326
Utah0.5%$191,785$202,289Buy by $10,504
Vermont1.51%$223,600$202,289Rent by $21,311
Virginia0.71%$198,400$202,289Buy by $3,889
Washington0.81%$201,550$202,289Buy by $739
West Virginia0.51%$192,100$202,289Buy by $10,189
Wisconsin1.2%$213,835$202,289Rent by $11,546
Wyoming0.56%$193,675$202,289Buy by $8,614
District of Columbia0.67%$197,140$202,289Buy by $5,149

Frequently asked questions

Why freeze the home price across states?

To isolate the tax effect. Real prices differ wildly by state, and each state page starts from the same neutral scenario precisely so nobody mistakes it for market data.

What usually decides rent vs buy?

Horizon first, interest rate second, property tax third — and in high-tax states, tax jumps the queue.

Sources & verification. State layer: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2025 effective property tax rates. Everything else is YOUR scenario — prices, rents and growth rates are inputs with labelled planning defaults (3% appreciation, 3% rent growth, 1% maintenance, 5% opportunity return, 6% selling cost, 3% closing), not market data. Verified 4 November 2026.

Rent vs buy run identically in every state ($450k home, $2,200 rent, 7 years): the verdict flips with the property-tax climate — from Hawaii’s 0.26% to Illinois’ 1.92% effective rate.

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UNDERSTAND YOUR RESULTS

Rent vs Buy by State — the 2026 Hub guide

The hub of the rent-vs-buy family: one frozen scenario across all 51 jurisdictions to isolate the property-tax effect, then a full scenario calculator per state.

How to use this tool

  1. Compare verdicts in the hub table.
  2. Open your state’s calculator.
  3. Replace every number with your own.
  4. Move the horizon and watch the verdict flip.

A worked example

At the frozen scenario, low-tax states tilt to buying sooner; Illinois and New Jersey tax keeps renting alive longest.

What you can do with this tool

How it works

The model counts the opportunity cost of your deposit — the line most calculators hide.

Frequently asked questions

What decides rent vs buy?

Horizon, rates, and — uniquely visible here — the state’s property-tax rate.

Are the prices real market data?

No — a frozen comparison scenario, labelled as such; your page takes your numbers.